Iran-Israel conflict: Armenian central bank considers various fallout scenarios

The Board of the Central Bank of Armenia has discussed several scenarios of the possible impact of the Iranian-Israeli conflict on the Armenian economy, Central Bank Governor Martin Galstyan has said.

“For example, if, presumably the war enters a more active or deeper and prolonged phase, the overall region would become riskier. In that case, a problem of disrupted supply value chains would emerge, secondly, it could have some impact on external demand in terms of tourism flows. Third, it could have a general impact in terms of our region’s risk premium,” he said, adding that type B risks pertain to a situation where the overall economy could become weaker.

Other scenarios will also be considered, he said.