Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran conflicts to continue generating security problems for Armenia, says intelligence report

In any scenario, developments of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will directly or indirectly impact the security environment of Armenia, the Armenian foreign intelligence agency said in its 2025 report.

The possible factors of this influence are both the circumstance of potentially vacating resources of regional actors and intensification of competition or counteraction between power actors in the South Caucasus, it said.

Regarding the Israel-Iran conflict, the Armenian intelligence agency said that the current state of the conflict, as well as changes to its form and conditions contributing to its escalation, will continue to generate security, economic and logistical problems for Armenia. The agency said various actors’ efforts (from economic sanctions to targeted military strikes) to deter and counter Iran’s nuclear program can form a more complicated security situation in the South Caucasus.