YEREVAN, APRIL 18, ARMENPRESS. Director of the “Modus Vivendi” center, political scientist Ara Papyan stated during a press conference on April 18 that the Azerbaijani large-scale military attacks against Nagorno Karabakh are related to internal and external factors of Azerbaijan. “For a long time it is known that Azerbaijan has economic problems related with prices and tariffs, and the ethnic minorities of Azerbaijan are getting more and more active. The offshore scandal related to Ilham Aliyev’s family might also have been a factor for starting military operations”, “Armenpress” reports Papyan saying.

Speaking about external factors, Papyan said that the deterioration of Russian-Turkish relations were a basis for starting the aggression against Artsakh. “In this case the Russian leadership’s actions were strange for me, who were making equal statements addressed to both sides, when the majority of Russian political analysts suggested that this was an action against Russia”, Papyan said.

According to him, the situation is currently stable; however a new war may begin in the upcoming months, which may be greater in scale. “Our leadership has to act concretely, as our Army, which of course acted brilliantly during the 4 day war, had some gaps which need to be filled. Significant gaps are in the organization of defense. This speaks to the fact that we suffered casualties, which might have been avoided. They weren’t avoided, because not everything was done right. Of course, the spirit of the soldier remains crucial in the 21st century, however it is very important to have modern, state-of-the-art armaments, in order to be able to defend appropriately and counterattack the enemy”, Papyan said.

According to him, not only has Azerbaijan created a military goal, but it has also created a goal to commit genocide against the Armenian people, which is evidenced by the violence, torture and mutilations committed by Azerbaijanis against civilians. “Therefore, we have serious steps to make, in order to finally crush the enemy.  We need to properly arm ourselves and prepare for a new war, during which we need to crush the enemy and achieve the final goal, because otherwise for a long time we will have the current situation. The only way is final crushing of the enemy. The fact that we will win the next war is without doubt, which proves the 4 day war, however, as to what price will the victory have is still the question. We need to seriously prepare for this,” Papyan said.

At the same time the political scientist said that one cannot achieve victory in war only by weapons and army, he said that it is necessary to act literately in the diplomatic arena also.